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Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Mobile Robots on the Rise

Gartner Hype Cycles 2011
Mobile robotics is one of the new  emerging technologies on the rise that might fundamentally reshape processes and even industries according to Gartner. In 2011 mobile robots have  reached the Peak of Inflated Expectations, which means early publicity produces a number of success stories—often accompanied by scores of failures. Some companies take action; many do not. It is the first time mobile robotics is represented on the Gartner Hype Cycles (GHC) that provides a graph of the maturity and adoption of technologies and applications, and how they are potentially relevant to solving real business problems and exploiting new opportunities. GHC methodology gives you a view of how a technology or application will evolve over time, providing a sound source of insight to manage its deployment within the context of your specific business goals.
Life after the Hype
What`s next on the GHC graph is the "Death valley", when the interest wanes as experiments and implementations fail to deliver. Gartner calls it "Trough of Disillusionment", when producers of the technology shake out or fail. Investments continue only if the surviving providers improve their products to the satisfaction of early adopters. This cycle phase might be the most critical before the benefit of the technology for customers start to crystallize and become more widely understood and the race to the Slope of Enlightenment begins. Now second- and third-generation products appear from technology providers and more enterprises fund pilots, while conservative companies remain cautious. In the last cycle phase, the Plateau of Productivity, mainstream adoption starts to take off. Criteria for assessing provider viability are more clearly defined. The technology’s broad market applicability and relevance are clearly paying off.

Here are some examples from the domestic robot death valley: Trilobite/Electrolux (1999-2010), Furby/Tiger (1998-2000/2005-2007), i-Cybie/Silverlit Electronics (2000-2005), Aibo/Sony (1999-2006), QRIO/Sony (2006),  Pleo/Ugobe (2006-2009), Wakamaru/Mishubishi (2005-2007).
Gartner, Inc. (NYSE: IT) is the world's leading information technology research and advisory company.

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